I don’t think it’s true that the orange baby isn’t rational. The problem it has is what it has experienced its whole life and career: getting away with everything it tried, no matter what. In some way you could look at it (the o.b.) as simply a statistical outlier, like an astonishingly lengthy string of coin tosses that always came up tails.
If one has an experience again and again and again, one takes that as a lesson. Even the orange baby has done so. Tucker Carlson was against the US’ terrorist attack on Iran from the beginning, but the orange baby tried to reassure him by saying “I know you’re worried about it, but it’s going to be OK, because it always is.”
Sometimes a lottery winner wins again. Sometimes a lightning-strike victim is struck a second time. Unlikely things happen. The orange baby seems to be many standard deviations away from the norm (in a number of ways). It has simply learned from that. Unfortunately.

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